Your company is offering you a choice. Take a guaranteed $3,200 a month for life. Or walk away with a $575,000 lump sum.
Most people pick wrong.
Not because they're careless. Because the math isn't obvious.
This decision only comes around once. And once you sign, there's no changing your mind. Today, we're breaking down exactly how to think through a pension buyout — so you pick the option that's actually right for you, not just the one that sounds better on paper.
Featured: Executive Order 14330: Trump’s Biggest Yet (Ad)
DEEP DIVE
The strategy: The Pension vs. Lump Sum Framework
Here's the problem. Both options sound safe.
A guaranteed check every month feels secure. A pile of cash in your account feels like control. But only one of these actually fits your situation.
Start with the breakeven age.
Divide the lump sum by the monthly pension payment. That tells you roughly how many years it takes for the monthly checks to add up to the lump sum total.
$575,000 ÷ $3,200 = about 15 years. So if you live past 82, the pension wins on pure math.
But the math is only step one. Here's what actually matters:
Your health. If you don't expect to live 15+ years past retirement, the lump sum likely wins.
Your spouse's survivor benefit. A pension often drops 50-100% at your death. A lump sum keeps working for your spouse no matter what.
Your other income. If Social Security and savings already cover your basics, the lump sum's flexibility may matter more than the guarantee.
Inflation. Most pensions never adjust for rising costs. $3,200 today buys a lot less in 20 years. A lump sum invested properly can grow to outpace that.
Your comfort with markets. A lump sum means you're now managing that money. If market swings keep you up at night, the guaranteed check has real value.
There's no universal right answer here. There's only your answer — based on your health, your spouse, your other income, and how you sleep at night.
WEEKLY MAILBAG
"My pension is offering a buyout. My gut says take the monthly check, but my son says take the lump sum. Who's right?" — Donna P., Ohio
Hi Donna. Honestly, you could both be right.
It depends on things a gut feeling and a spreadsheet alone can't capture — like your health, your spouse's needs, and what other income you already have coming in.
If you have enough guaranteed income elsewhere (Social Security, other pensions), the lump sum gives you flexibility and something to leave behind.
If this pension is your main safety net, the guaranteed check may let you sleep better.
Before you sign anything, get the personalized numbers. This one's too important to guess on.
MARKET MINUTE
The 10-year Treasury yield is holding near 4.2% this week, which matters if you're weighing a lump sum — that's roughly the return you'd need just to match what many pensions assume when they calculate your buyout offer.
FROM OUR PARTNERS
Last month, Trump quietly signed Executive Order 14330. No fanfare. No headlines. The media barely noticed.
But it could be the most important financial decision of his presidency.
President Trump has been quietly collecting up to $250,000 a month from a single fund. And you can now get in for less than $20.
Stay safe, stay invested, and I'll see you in your inbox next Tuesday.
- Retire Plan team

